NFL playoff picture 2024: Where Broncos stand entering NFL Week 16
Here's a look the current playoff pictures entering NFL Week 16, as well as scenarios for Denver to clinch a postseason berth.
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The Broncos are a win away from reaching the playoffs for the first time since the Peyton Manning era.
After a 31-13 win over the Colts on Sunday, Denver moved into the No. 6 spot in the AFC.
Here’s a look at the current playoff picture entering NFL Week 14, as well as scenarios for Denver to clinch a postseason berth:
NFC playoff picture
Who’s in if the playoffs started today:
- Detroit Lions (12-2) — Clinched
- Philadelphia Eagles (12-2) — Clinched
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6) — 83% probability to reach playoffs, per NFL.com.
- Los Angeles Rams (8-6) — 54%
- Minnesota Vikings (12-2) — Clinched
- Green Bay Packers (10-4) — >99%
- Washington Commanders (9-5) — 78%
In the hunt:
- Seattle Seahawks (8-6) — 36%
- Atlanta Falcons (7-7) — 35%
- Arizona Cardinals (7-7) — 13%
Not mathematically eliminated:
- San Francisco 49ers (6-8) — <1%
- Dallas Cowboys (6-8) — <1%
- New Orleans Saints (6-8) — <1%
Better luck next year: Chicago Bears (4-10), Carolina Panthers (3-11), New York Giants (2-12).
AFC playoff picture
Who’s in if the playoffs started today:
- Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) — Clinched
- Buffalo Bills (11-3) — Clinched
- Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4) — Clinched
- Houston Texans (9-5) — Clinched
- Baltimore Ravens (9-5) — >99%
- Denver Broncos (9-5) — 91%
- Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) — 86%
In the hunt:
- Indianapolis Colts (6-8) — 11%
- Miami Dolphins (6-8) — 12%
- Cincinnati Bengals (6-8) — 8%
Better luck next year: New York Jets (4-10), Cleveland Browns (3-11), Jacksonville Jaguars (3-11), Tennessee Titans (3-11), New England Patriots (3-11) and Las Vegas Raiders (2-12).
How the Broncos can clinch a playoff spot
- Win or tie one of their three remaining games: This would guarantee Denver a better record than either the Bengals, Colts or Dolphins.
- The Bengals AND the Dolphins each have at least a tie or a loss in their remaining games: Denver would have the better record. Cincinnati and Miami would win the tiebreaker if they all were 9-8. The Broncos win the tiebreaker over the Colts.
How the Broncos can miss the playoffs
- Denver loses final three games AND the Bengals win out: Both teams would finish 9-8, but Cincinnati would have the head-to-head advantage after winning in Week 17. If Miami also wins out, they get in over Cincinnati.
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